Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.071304 0.079057 0.087572 0.097664 0.109362 0.122569 0.138714
2024-10-27 0.059142 0.069497 0.081804 0.097701 0.117978 0.143382 0.178277
2024-11-03 0.051709 0.063564 0.078560 0.099348 0.128129 0.167706 0.228407
2024-11-10 0.046267 0.058954 0.075833 0.100652 0.137533 0.192690 0.286606
2024-11-17 0.041639 0.054596 0.072552 0.100273 0.144034 0.214518 0.346744
2024-11-24 0.038429 0.051677 0.070717 0.101450 0.152791 0.241654 0.425573
2024-12-01 0.035817 0.049240 0.069162 0.102636 0.161557 0.270775 0.520095
2024-12-08 0.033558 0.047040 0.067626 0.103492 0.169746 0.300831 0.630718
2024-12-15 0.031424 0.044790 0.065709 0.103334 0.175919 0.328447 0.750181
2024-12-22 0.029343 0.042416 0.063310 0.101935 0.179337 0.351043 0.869597
2024-12-29 0.028138 0.041317 0.062879 0.104002 0.190114 0.393836 1.080368
2025-01-05 0.026444 0.039275 0.060632 0.102316 0.192548 0.416924 1.243257
2025-01-12 0.025316 0.038106 0.059831 0.103421 0.201659 0.461563 1.536152
2025-01-19 0.024019 0.036554 0.058210 0.102681 0.206414 0.496184 1.829099
2025-01-26 0.023140 0.035652 0.057678 0.104111 0.216787 0.552379 2.315231
2025-02-02 0.022312 0.034773 0.057100 0.105357 0.227028 0.613281 2.948316
2025-02-09 0.021346 0.033581 0.055822 0.104896 0.232675 0.661295 3.608860
2025-02-16 0.020654 0.032830 0.055325 0.106121 0.243328 0.734242 4.699642
2025-02-23 0.020015 0.032131 0.054865 0.107369 0.254422 0.816189 6.227988
2025-03-02 0.019387 0.031408 0.054293 0.108274 0.264778 0.902369 8.309978
2025-03-09 0.018697 0.030529 0.053330 0.108104 0.271784 0.978296 10.830840
2025-03-16 0.017934 0.029465 0.051907 0.106619 0.274198 1.033368 13.514348
2025-03-23 0.017553 0.029108 0.051929 0.108813 0.289742 1.174022 20.494738